{"id":24747,"date":"2025-03-31T08:48:50","date_gmt":"2025-03-31T13:48:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.eoption.com\/?p=24747"},"modified":"2025-03-31T08:48:50","modified_gmt":"2025-03-31T13:48:50","slug":"daily-commentary-march-31-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.eoption.com\/daily-commentary-march-31-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Daily Commentary: March 31, 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Market Testing the Low For March<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n
Posted by Pete Stolcers on March 31
\n www.oneoption.com<\/a><\/div>\n
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After a brief and wimpy bounce, sellers have returned.<\/h4>\n

PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS – I am going to keep my comments brief since I recorded a video yesterday<\/a>. <\/p>\n

Sellers are in control and the market is testing horizontal support from two weeks ago. The Trump tariffs will go into effect Wednesday and the market is bracing for a trade war. Our best case scenario for day trading would have come after a wimpy bounce off of Friday’s low. We are not going to get that set-up and the market is down overnight. I would not chase this opening drop.<\/p>\n

Our next best scenario is that the market tries to bounce on the open and it struggles to find buyers in the first 45 minutes of trading. A wimpy bounce with mixed overlapping candles that can’t fill half of the gap would set up a great entry point for shorts. That will give us time to find stocks that were not able to bounce and that will confirm relative weakness. Ideally, those stocks breached support last week and they could not get back to it. If the volume today is heavy, we have a good prospect for a day trading short. <\/p>\n

We don’t want to chase a move lower because we don’t know if horizontal support is going to hold. After a 250 point drop in the S&P 500 in the last few days, I would not want to chase this move lower because the odds of a bounce are fairly high and the bounce could be dramatic. For day trading, chasing an opening move lower does not present good odds this morning. Could the move gain traction and the bottom falls out? Sure. From a risk standpoint it is not worth chasing. If this plays out, you have to wait for a failed bounce that can’t get back to VWAP and then you will have an opportunity to short. <\/p>\n

We have major economic releases this week in addition to the tariffs. After a big drop Friday, we can expect a rather dull day ahead of major news. The official PMIs will also be released. Overseas markets were weak across the board. <\/p>\n

From a longer term swing perspective, your positions should be in fantastic shape. I will still be looking for opportunities to add this week, but I will be relatively passive adding until I see the day unfold. If the market is clearly below $550 this afternoon I might add to my shorts. Shorter term swing traders can take some nice gains early if the market finds support at $550. <\/p>\n

Support is at $550 and resistance is the low from Friday. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

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Content is provided by OneOption, LLC<\/a>, which has no affiliation with Regal Securities, Inc. (“Regal”) This commentary is provided for information purposes only, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation by Regal to buy or sell securities or to adopt any investment strategy. Regal has not participated in the creation of the OneOption content and does not directly or indirectly endorse the content. Any reliance on this material is at the sole discretion of the reader.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Market Testing the Low For March Posted by Pete Stolcers on March 31 www.oneoption.com After a brief and wimpy bounce, sellers have returned. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS – I am going to keep my comments brief since I recorded a video yesterday. Sellers are in control and the market is testing horizontal support from two weeks ago. The Trump tariffs will … Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":1318,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[42],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-1option-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eoption.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24747","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eoption.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eoption.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eoption.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eoption.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24747"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.eoption.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24747\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24748,"href":"https:\/\/www.eoption.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24747\/revisions\/24748"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eoption.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1318"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.eoption.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24747"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eoption.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24747"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.eoption.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24747"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}